The electricity market will change how we drive. Is policy keeping up?
Endgame Analytics is launching a new research series on decarbonising transport. We are pleased to partner with SCT Consulting to explore the emerging electric vehicle market and its growing nexus with the electricity sector….
The road to net zero will need to include Australia’s freight task and the economics are shifting fast.
Endgame Analytics is pleased to share the second instalment of our decarbonising transport research series, this time focusing on road freight and the commercial…
With extensive experience in this sector and proven methodologies, Endgame is uniquely positioned to deliver actionable recommendations on issues such as optimising production, managing consumption, and forecasting demand.
With extensive experience in this sector and proven methodologies, Endgame is uniquely positioned to deliver actionable recommendations on issues such as optimising production, managing consumption, and forecasting demand.
With extensive experience in this sector and proven methodologies, Endgame is uniquely positioned to deliver actionable recommendations on issues such as optimising production, managing consumption, and forecasting demand.
With extensive experience in this sector and proven methodologies, Endgame is uniquely positioned to deliver actionable recommendations on issues such as optimising production, managing consumption, and forecasting demand.
When an organisation faces an optimisation or machine learning challenge, they must choose between building an in-house team to solve the problem, and hiring consultants. Endgame offers a third option. Now you can leverage the deep and diverse expertise of our teams for a swift resolution, with ongoing access to the model though a web-based software interface.
Endgame Analytics Market Insights dashboard delivers cloud-based insights from our quarterly market outlook modelling a time horizon of over 25 years across the NEM. This projects prices across multiple scenarios underpinned by rigorously selected assumptions that are updated quarterly as the market evolves.
Endgame’s battery model employs a mixed integer programming approach to determine optimal battery energy storage dispatch over a defined time horizon. The battery operates as a price-taker in the wholesale electricity market with perfect foresight of future electricity prices.
The optimisation yields the theoretical maximum arbitrage profit attainable under perfect information, representing an upper bound on financial performance for the specified battery configuration and market scenario.
Our suite of services provides production-grade workflows for NEM market participants who need reliable, high-quality data and forecasting solutions.
From ready-to-use price forecasts to custom model platforms and automated bidding systems, we deliver the tools that analytical athletes need to excel.
For gentailers and trading desks who want high‑quality NEM price forecasts without building models themselves. Get Endgame Analytic’s forecasts as a service – intraday/predispatch, week‑ahead and quarterly, updated in real time.
For forecasting teams at gentailers and trading desks who build their own forecast models and who need them to run reliably on live NEM data – without the hassle of glue code and home‑grown pipelines.
For generators who require automated bidding with transparent algorithms. pdBidr provides the tools to intervene in the solve cycle, adjust input parameters and run simulation scenarios.
For gentailers and trading desks who need a clear view of how scheduled units are expected to run. Day‑ahead expected generation profiles for DUIDs, stations and custom groups, derived from AEMO predispatch to reflect current market intent.
Endgame’s quarterly Price Projection delivers a rigorous outlook on the National Electricity Market (NEM), modelling price and dispatch outcomes across a 25-year horizon. Our central scenario for the NEM anticipates a delayed energy transition, shaped by sustained headwinds to renewable construction and a laggard exit of coal-fired generation. Our suite of alternative scenarios explores a spectrum of market dynamics, ranging from a trajectory aligned with government policy targets to one constrained by highly restrictive wind-build rates.
In the Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM), Endgame Analytics offers a premium subscription that provides a considered, in-house perspective on the system’s evolution through to 2050. Drawing on detailed modelling of both Real Time Market and Reserve Capacity Mechanism outcomes across Capacity Years 2026 to 2050, our half-yearly service examines price trajectories, capacity adequacy, and the changing generation mix under a suite of distinct scenarios, refreshed every six months to reflect the latest market dynamics.
Our premium quarterly service delivers energy market outcomes across an extensive range of scenarios out to 2050.
Alongside the results, we provide the underlying data for you to conduct independent analysis and draw your own conclusions. This includes summary-level outputs as well as granular results such as half-hourly prices, generation, emissions, and interconnector data in CSV format.
The Volatility Package extends our NEM Fundamentals package, converting a single central price forecast into a comprehensive distribution of possible outcomes. To build that distribution, we model 13 weather reference years across 5 demand scales and run each combination through our central, high and low scenarios, generating a broad set of sensitivities for every case.
This gives market participants a probabilistic view of the market, one that captures the full spread of conditions from high-renewable, low-price periods to low-generation, high-price events. It forms the basis for robust risk management, letting clients stress-test their portfolios against an increasingly weather-dependent system and the uncertainty surrounding demand forecasts.
Across every sensitivity run for independent analysis
Summarising the full spectrum of outcomes visually
Commentary on volatility dynamics and what drives tall events