{"id":425,"date":"2024-11-05T16:38:56","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T16:38:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/endgameanalytics.com.au\/?page_id=425"},"modified":"2026-06-25T06:37:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T06:37:13","slug":"modelling","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/ja\/services\/modelling\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30e2\u30c7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"banner  module-banner    bg-primary  none\" >\n\n            <!-- <section class=\"banner bg-primary\"> -->\n                            <figure class=\"banner__pattern\">\n                    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/pattern2.svg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" \/>                    <!-- <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"images\/pattern2.svg\" alt=\"Image Description\" \/> -->\n                <\/figure>\n                        <div class=\"container\">\n                <div class=\"banner__content  min-h-full\">\n                                            <span class=\"cta cta-primary none\">Economic Modelling Consultancy<\/span>\n                                                                <h1 class=\"\">Simulating the future to inform.<\/h1>\n                                                                                    <div class=\"banner__text text\">\n                            <p>Decision-making is becoming increasingly complex due to the scale, intricacy and multifaceted nature of the problems it seeks to solve.  <\/p>\n<p>Modelling and data analysis can be an extremely effective tool, helping decision-makers to understand the value and impact of their decisions, and enabling them to strive for best possible outcomes.  <\/p>\n                        <\/div>\n                                                        <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <!-- <\/section> -->\n        <\/section>\n\n\n        <section class=\"image-block  module-image pt-0     none\" >\n            \n            <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1440\" height=\"408\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img8.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img8.jpg 1440w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img8-300x85.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img8-1024x290.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img8-768x218.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1440px) 100vw, 1440px\" \/>\n        <\/section>\n\n\n        <section class=\"copy-block copy-block--break space-small  module-title-left      none\" >\n\n            <div class=\"container\">\n                <div class=\"copy__row\">\n                                    <div class=\"copy__col   copy__heading\">                       \n                            <h2>Using the virtual world for real-world impact. <\/h2>\n                                                <\/div>\n                                <div class=\"copy__col\">\n\n                    <div class=\"copy__text text\">\n                                                                            <p>Models allow us to distil complex systems into their principal components, empowering us to test and investigate a system \u2013 without affecting it. Each simulation serves as a test-bed for evaluating our intuition, expanding our understanding, and exploring a system\u2019s limits. In the virtual world of a model, we can build a highway, shut down a power station, and even merge two rival firms. <\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n\n                                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n        <\/section>\n\n\n        <section class=\"service-block  text-white module-services    bg-black  none\" >\n\n            <div class=\"service__holder\">\n                <div class=\"service__left\">\n                                        <div class=\"service__tab\" data-ac>\n                                                                                    <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger>WHOLESALE MODELLING&nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        We specialise in advising on long-term generation and transmission expansion and retirement decisions.                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                                        <div>\n<div>Our guidance is informed by modelling that identifies the optimal investment needed to meet peak demand and other policy requirements, while minimising capital expenditure and operational costs.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"957\" height=\"828\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service1.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service1.jpg 957w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service1-300x260.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service1-768x664.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                            <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger>Application Modelling&nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        We are experts in providing advice to inform commercial operational decisions at both a system-wide and portfolio scale. We achieve this through modelling that determines optimal generation volumes required to meet demand, while considering detailed technical and economic characteristics of the system.                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                                        <div>\n<div>A key aspect of economic dispatch modelling is projecting future wholesale prices, which provides insights around profit and cost forecasts.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"957\" height=\"828\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service2.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service2.jpg 957w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service2-300x260.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service2-768x664.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                            <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger>Network Modelling&nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        We provide advice to support strategic and investment decision-making for network service providers by considering problems such as the emergence of new technologies and non-network solutions.                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"957\" height=\"828\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service3.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service3.jpg 957w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service3-300x260.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service3-768x664.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                            <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger>Bespoke Modelling&nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        We are often approached by clients who are interested in solving unique or novel problems that are best addressed through the development of tailored, project-specific models. These might include:                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                                        <ul>\n<li>Modelling failure rate probabilities to assess the reliability of plants<\/li>\n<li>Stochastic optimisation modelling to determine system costs under different demand forecasts<\/li>\n<li>Load forecasting based on spatial demographic factors<\/li>\n<li>Neural network system demand forecasting<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"957\" height=\"828\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service4.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service4.jpg 957w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service4-300x260.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/service4-768x664.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                            <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger>Operations Research &nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        Endgame\u2019s operations research capability is focused on applying optimisation and machine learning to solve logistical problems outside of the energy sector, including production planning, inventory planning, scheduling, and procurement.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                                        <p>Our optimisation solution adds significant value to clients as it is less time-consuming and resource intensive, as well as easier to implement than the manual approach.<\/p>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1693\" height=\"1133\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/operations-banner-1.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"operations-banner\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/operations-banner-1.jpg 1693w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/operations-banner-1-300x201.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/operations-banner-1-1024x685.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/operations-banner-1-768x514.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/operations-banner-1-1536x1028.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1693px) 100vw, 1693px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                            <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger>Transactions and due diligence project&nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        Navigating the Australian electricity market demands more than financial acumen.                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                                        <p>It requires a deepunderstanding of the National Electricity Market (NEM), dispatch dynamics, and the evolving energytransition landscape. Our transactional advisory practicesupports both buy-side and sell-side mandates, combining rigorous energy market modelling with commercial insight to guide investors, developers, and corporates. On the buy side, we provide independent revenue forecasting, red flag reviews, asset due diligence, and riskassessment to help acquirers price with confidence. On the sell side, we prepare vendor due diligencereports. Drawing on granular half-hourly dispatch modelling across all NEM regions, our analysis covers generation, storage, and hybrid assets. We deliver advice that stands up to lender, investor, and counterparty scrutiny atevery stage of the transaction.<\/p>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1693\" height=\"790\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/transactions-banner.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"transactions-banner\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/transactions-banner.jpg 1693w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/transactions-banner-300x140.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/transactions-banner-1024x478.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/transactions-banner-768x358.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/transactions-banner-1536x717.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1693px) 100vw, 1693px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                            <div class=\"service__item\" data-ac-item>\n                                    <button class=\"service__trigger\" data-ac-trigger> Price Projection&nbsp;<span class=\"icon icon-arrow-up\"><\/span><\/button>\n                                    <div class=\"service__panel\" data-ac-panel>\n                                        <div class=\"service__content\">\n                                            <div class=\"service__top\">\n                                                                                                    <h3 class=\"service__title\">\n                                                        Critical forecasts for informed decisions.                                                    <\/h3>\n                                                                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                                        <p>Australia&#8217;s energy landscape is in a period of rapid transformation. Technology is advancing, policy settingsare shifting, and the way consumers use energy continues to change. In this environment, robust andregularly updated forecasts are essential to support sound decision-making.<\/p>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                                                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                                            <div class=\"service__img\">\n                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1693\" height=\"790\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/price-image.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"price-image\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/price-image.jpg 1693w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/price-image-300x140.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/price-image-1024x478.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/price-image-768x358.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/price-image-1536x717.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1693px) 100vw, 1693px\" \/>                                                <\/div>\n                                                                                    <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                    \n                    <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"service__bottom\">\n                                                \n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n        <\/section>\n\n\n        <section class=\"headline-block module-heading      space-small  none\" >\n\n                    <div class=\"container\">\n                <div class=\"headline__content\">\n                                            <h2 class=\"\">The Endgame approach to modelling.<\/h2>\n                                                                <div class=\"text\">\n                            <p>From bespoke Python + Gurobi optimisation models, to more general energy market modelling using PLEXOS, our team excels at conducting various forms of modelling.<\/p>\n<p>The process typically starts with a client consultation around inputs and assumptions, which is then followed by long term capacity expansion modelling which forecasts the long-term optimal capacity mix as the system evolves.<\/p>\n<p>This forecast generation capacity mix will then be used as an input into short-term dispatch modelling, which conducts a detailed simulation of market dispatch outcomes and produces half-hourly forecasts of pool prices and plant output.<\/p>\n                        <\/div>\n                    \n      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