{"id":390,"date":"2024-11-04T16:22:19","date_gmt":"2024-11-04T16:22:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/endgameanalytics.com.au\/?page_id=390"},"modified":"2026-06-29T08:31:45","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T08:31:45","slug":"price-projection","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/ja\/services\/price-projection\/","title":{"rendered":"Price Projection"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"banner  module-banner    bg-primary  none\" >\n\n            <!-- <section class=\"banner bg-primary\"> -->\n                            <figure class=\"banner__pattern\">\n                    <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/pattern2.svg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" \/>                    <!-- <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"images\/pattern2.svg\" alt=\"Image Description\" \/> -->\n                <\/figure>\n                        <div class=\"container\">\n                <div class=\"banner__content  min-h-full\">\n                                            <span class=\"cta cta-primary none\">PRICE PROJECTION SERVICES<\/span>\n                                                                <h1 class=\"\">Critical forecasts for informed decisions.<\/h1>\n                                                                                    <div class=\"banner__text text\">\n                            <p>The energy system is constantly evolving due to changes in technology, shifting in government policies and changes in consumer behaviour. Now more than ever, frequent and comprehensive analyses and forecasts are essential for making informed decisions.<\/p>\n                        <\/div>\n                                                        <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <!-- <\/section> -->\n        <\/section>\n\n\n        <section class=\"image-block  module-image      none\" >\n            \n            <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1440\" height=\"408\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img7.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img7.jpg 1440w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img7-300x85.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img7-1024x290.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/img7-768x218.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1440px) 100vw, 1440px\" \/>\n        <\/section>\n\n\n\n\n        <section class=\"tool-block none space-small\" >\n            <div class=\"container\">\n                <div class=\"tool__head mb-md-0 tool__head-max\">\n                                            <h2>NEM and WEM modelling.<\/h2>\n                                                                <h3>Two markets.<br \/>\r\nOne standard of rigour. <\/h3>\n                                    <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"row\">\n                    <div class=\"col-lg col-lg-3 hide-down-lg\"><\/div>\n\n                                            \n                            \n                            <div class=\"col-md col-md-2 col-lg col-lg-3\">\n                                                                    <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small tool__subtitle\"> NATIONAL ELECTRICITY MARKET <\/span>\n                                                                                                    <h3>NEM<\/h3>\n                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                        <p>Endgame&#8217;s quarterly Price Projection delivers a rigorous outlook on the <strong>National Electricity Market (NEM)<\/strong>, modelling price and dispatch outcomes across a 25-year horizon. Our central scenario for the NEM anticipates a delayed energy transition, shaped by sustained headwinds to renewable construction and a laggard exit of coal-fired generation. Our suite of alternative scenarios explores a spectrum of market dynamics, ranging from a trajectory aligned with government policy targets to one constrained by highly restrictive wind-build rates.<\/p>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                                            <\/div>\n\n                        \n                            \n                            <div class=\"col-md col-md-2 col-lg col-lg-3\">\n                                                                    <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small tool__subtitle\"> WHOLESALE ELECTRICITY MARKET <\/span>\n                                                                                                    <h3>WEM<\/h3>\n                                                                                                    <div class=\"text\">\n                                        <p>In the <strong>Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM)<\/strong>, Endgame offers a premium subscription that provides a considered, in-house perspective on the system&#8217;s evolution through to 2050. Drawing on detailed modelling of both Real Time Market and Reserve Capacity Mechanism outcomes across Capacity Years 2026 to 2050, our half-yearly service examines price trajectories, capacity adequacy, and the changing generation mix under a suite of distinct scenarios, refreshed every six months to reflect the latest market dynamics.<\/p>\n                                    <\/div>\n                                                            <\/div>\n\n                                            \n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/section>\n\n\n\n        <section class=\"quarter-block bg-black text-white space-small\" >\n            <div class=\"container\">\n\n                <div class=\"copy__row\">\n                    <div class=\"copy__col copy__heading\">\n                                                    <h2>Premium Service:<br \/>\r\nQuarterly Updates. <\/h2>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"copy__col\">\n                            <div class=\"copy__text text\">\n                                <p>Our premium quarterly service delivers energy market outcomes across an extensive range of scenarios out to 2050.<\/p>\n<p>Alongside the results, we provide the underlying data for you to conduct independent analysis and draw your own conclusions. This includes summary-level outputs as well as granular results such as half-hourly prices, generation, emissions, and interconnector data in CSV format.<\/p>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"border-spacer\">\n                                            <h3 class=\"quarter__subhead\">Each quarter you receive:<\/h3>\n                    \n                    <div class=\"update__holder pt-0\">\n\n                                                                                \n                                \n                                <div class=\"update__item quarter__card\">\n                                    <div class=\"update__trigger\">\n                                        <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small tag-cta-white\">1<\/span>\n                                                                                    <h3 class=\"update__title quarter__title\">Modelling results data.<\/h3>\n                                                                                                                            <ul class=\"list list-white\">\n                                                                                                    <li>Half-hourly price, emissions, line flow and generation data by technology and asset<\/li>\n                                                                                                    <li>A user-friendly summary workbook aggregating critical metrics for analysis<\/li>\n                                                                                            <\/ul>\n                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                            <div class=\"update__panel\">\n                                            <div class=\"update__img\">\n                                                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/update1.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                        <\/div>\n                                                                    <\/div>\n\n                                                            \n                                \n                                <div class=\"update__item quarter__card\">\n                                    <div class=\"update__trigger\">\n                                        <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small tag-cta-white\">2<\/span>\n                                                                                    <h3 class=\"update__title quarter__title\">Comprehensive report.<\/h3>\n                                                                                                                            <ul class=\"list list-white\">\n                                                                                                    <li>A deep dive into the latest market updates, their impact on prices and dispatch, and key analysis on the future of the NEM<\/li>\n                                                                                                    <li>Detailed quarter-on-quarter updates to underlying assumptions, prices and dispatch outcomes<\/li>\n                                                                                            <\/ul>\n                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                            <div class=\"update__panel\">\n                                            <div class=\"update__img\">\n                                                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/update2.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                        <\/div>\n                                                                    <\/div>\n\n                                                            \n                                \n                                <div class=\"update__item quarter__card\">\n                                    <div class=\"update__trigger\">\n                                        <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small tag-cta-white\">3<\/span>\n                                                                                    <h3 class=\"update__title quarter__title\">Platform access.<\/h3>\n                                                                                                                            <ul class=\"list list-white\">\n                                                                                                    <li>Interactive charts to gather the most relevant insights for market participants<\/li>\n                                                                                                    <li>Downloadable data sets detailing each self-produced chart<\/li>\n                                                                                                    <li>A full suite of assumptions underlying all scenarios<\/li>\n                                                                                            <\/ul>\n                                                                            <\/div>\n                                                                            <div class=\"update__panel\">\n                                            <div class=\"update__img\">\n                                                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/update3.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                        <\/div>\n                                                                    <\/div>\n\n                                                                                    \n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n            <\/div>\n        <\/section>\n\n\n\n\n\n        <section class=\"copy-block copy-block--break space-small  module-title-left    bg-primary  text-black\" >\n\n            <div class=\"container\">\n                <div class=\"copy__row\">\n                                    <div class=\"copy__col   copy__heading\">                       \n                            <h2>Bi-annual public seminars.<\/h2>\n                                                <\/div>\n                                <div class=\"copy__col\">\n\n                    <div class=\"copy__text text\">\n                                                                            <p>Our biannual seminar tackles a single timely issue shaping Australia\u2019s energy market. Held across capital cities, each session draws on our in-house modelling, market expertise and deep sector knowledge to surface insights that feed directly into our regular Price Projections. Recent seminars include Valuing Assets in a Highly Volatile World, examining how the shift to a weather-dependent system erodes revenue certainty, and Boom or Bust, which weighed the business case for longer-duration storage against the messy economics that so often define short-duration assets.<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n\n                                            <div class=\"copy__btn\">\n                            <a class=\"btn  btn-no-arrow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.endgameanalytics.com.au\/contact\/\" target=\"_self\">CONTACT US TO FIND OUT MORE <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n        <\/section>\n\n\n\n\n        <section class=\"subscription-block none space-small\" >\n            <div class=\"container\">\n\n                <div class=\"copy__row\">\n                    <div class=\"copy__col copy__heading copy__heading--height\">\n                                                    <h2>NEM Volatility package.<\/h2>\n                                                                            <span class=\"subheading\"> Price projections tell you where the market is heading. The NEM Volatility package tells you how wide the range really is. <\/span>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                            <div class=\"copy__col\">\n                            <div class=\"copy__text text\">\n                                <p>The Volatility Package extends our NEM Fundamentals package, converting a single central price forecast into a comprehensive distribution of possible outcomes. To build that distribution, we model 13 weather reference years across 5 demand scales and run each combination through our central, high and low scenarios, generating a broad set of sensitivities for every case.<\/p>\n<p>This gives market participants a probabilistic view of the market, one that captures the full spread of conditions from high-renewable, low-price periods to low-generation, high-price events. It forms the basis for robust risk management, letting clients stress-test their portfolios against an increasingly weather-dependent system and the uncertainty surrounding demand forecasts.<\/p>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\"border-spacer border-spacer-black\">\n                    <div class=\"row\">\n\n                                                    <div class=\"col-md col-md-1 col-lg col-lg-4\">\n                                <h2 class=\"subheading font-primary mb-0\">Your subscription includes:<\/h2>\n                            <\/div>\n                        \n                                                    \n                                \n                                <div class=\"col-md col-md-2 col-lg col-lg-4\">\n                                    <div class=\"subscription__card\">\n                                                                                    <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small\"> Half-hourly price data <\/span>\n                                                                                                                            <div class=\"text\">\n                                                <p>Across every sensitivity run for independent analysis<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                                                            <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n\n                            \n                                \n                                <div class=\"col-md col-md-2 col-lg col-lg-4\">\n                                    <div class=\"subscription__card\">\n                                                                                    <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small\"> Interactive workbook <\/span>\n                                                                                                                            <div class=\"text\">\n                                                <p>Summarising the full spectrum of outcomes visually<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                                                            <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n\n                            \n                                \n                                <div class=\"col-md col-md-2 col-lg col-lg-4\">\n                                    <div class=\"subscription__card\">\n                                                                                    <span class=\"tag-cta tag-cta-small\"> expert briefing <\/span>\n                                                                                                                            <div class=\"text\">\n                                                <p>Commentary on volatility dynamics and what drives tall events<\/p>\n                                            <\/div>\n                                                                            <\/div>\n                                <\/div>\n\n                                                    \n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n            <\/div>\n        <\/section>\n\n\n\n\n\n        <section class=\"contact-block module-contact    bg-primary pricing-overlay none\" >\n\n            <div class=\"container\">\n                                    <h2>Contact<\/h2>\n                                <div class=\"row contact__row\">\n                    <div class=\"col-md col-md-2\">\n                        <div class=\"contact__content\">\n                            <div class=\"info\">\n                                                                    <div class=\"info__item\">\n                                        <span class=\"info__icon hide-md\">ph.<\/span>\n                                        <span class=\"info__icon hide-sm\">P<\/span>\n    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Alternatively, contact us using the details below.<\/p>\n                                <\/div>\n                                                    <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"col-md col-md-2\">\n                        <div class=\"contact-hub\"> <script charset=\"utf-8\" type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"\/\/js.hsforms.net\/forms\/embed\/v2.js\"><\/script><script>\n    hbspt.forms.create({\n        region: \"na1\",\n        portalId: \"48858950\",\n        formId: \"f9009ee1-454f-4800-baaa-ce264316d573\"\n    });\n<\/script><\/div>                                            <\/div>\n\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n        <\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":391,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-390","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.9 - 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